Egypt´s Brilliant, Manipulative Muslim Brotherhood / Islamists are an integral part of Egyptian society, but they do not represent any sort of majority (WSJ) WALL STREET JOURNAL) By DINA KHAYAT 07/31/12)
Source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443343704577555600848809394.html
WALL STREET JOURNAL
WALL STREET JOURNAL Articles-Index-Top
Publishers-Index-Top
It was a brilliant and manipulative move. At 4 a.m. on June 18, only
six hours after polls closed and well before an initial count had
been completed, the Muslim Brotherhood´s Mohammed Morsi held a press
conference and declared himself the winner of Egypt´s presidential
election.
It took nearly a week for election officials to confirm that. When
they did, U.S. President Obama called Mr. Morsi the same night to
congratulate him. In the interim, the Muslim Brotherhood had
established the psychological fact of "President Morsi" on the
ground, letting its announcement sink into the Egyptian and
international psyche. By the time the official results were in, any
other outcome would have seemed fraudulent.
Yet again, the Muslim Brotherhood proved themselves masters of self
promotion and at delivering their message. Since the January 2011
uprising, they have succeeded in portraying themselves as the only
strong, organized political force that can represent the majority in
Egypt and make or break its revolution.
The reality is quite different. Consider who voted for whom in
Egypt´s presidential election. The turnout for the June 18 runoff was
low, with about 50% of voters abstaining. Islamists in all their hues
voted en masse for Mr. Morsi, giving him (officially) 51.73% of the
vote. The rest went for Ahmed Shafik, a former general and the last
prime minister under Hosni Mubarak. His supporters consisted of
Muslim secularists, Coptic Christians and a sizeable portion of the
urban and rural poor, who heard Mr. Shafik´s clear message of
security and getting the country back to work. After 18 months of
nothing but demonstrations, with rising unemployment and an economy
on the brink of collapse, that message was a welcome one.
Mr. Morsi portrayed himself as the candidate of the revolution, as a
man of God who would stand up to Mubarak´s old regime. Yet using its
full, formidable electoral machinery, the Muslim Brotherhood could
only get around a quarter of Egypt´s 50 million registered voters to
cast a ballot for Mr. Morsi. The close result, and the depth and
strength of secularism in a people who are also deeply religious,
surprised even the Brotherhood, which had apparently believed its own
hype. The reality is that, while the Muslim Brotherhood are an
integral part of Egyptian society and political reality, it is
fatally wrong to believe that they represent any sort of majority.
egardless, Mr. Shafik bowed out gracefully, in stark contrast to the
Muslim Brotherhood´s thinly veiled threats of blood on the streets
should Mr. Shafik win. Ahead of the vote in June, the Washington Post
quoted a leading strategist for the Muslim Brotherhood, Khairat Al
Shater, who warned that Egyptians would "not accept" Mr. Shafik as
president: "From the first day of the announcement, people will be
back to Tahrir Square."
This bodes ill both for stability and for fledgling democracy, which
can´t be achieved by the specter of unrest if an election doesn´t
produce the desired result.
President Morsi has now been in office for a month. It is of course
far too early to judge, but the first signs are not encouraging. He
barely mentions the economic free-fall and all-but absent security.
The fate and shape of Egypt´s future constitution remain a mystery,
as the Brotherhood attempts for the second time in three months to
draft a constitution that would favor their constituents (Islamists)
at the expense of others (such as women, secular Muslims and
Christians). The revolution rose against an autocratic, self
perpetuating regime. Now, those who professed to have been abused by
it appear to be resorting to similar tactics.
The U.S. role in all this is hard to understand and harder to
justify. Mr. Morsi´s and the Brotherhood´s values are not U.S. values
and never were. Yet the American mainstream media bought into the
Brotherhood´s rhetoric and appeared to be stumping for Mr. Morsi in
the lead-up to the election. Once the results were in, the Obama
administration lent the new President Morsi almost immediate
legitimacy.
Many Egyptians were also shocked by Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton´s call for the Supreme Council of Armed Forces to return to
their barracks. In June, after the polls closed and Mr. Morsi had
declared himself the winner—but before the official results had been
announced—Mrs. Clinton said "it is imperative that the military
fulfill its promise to the Egyptian people to turn power over to the
legitimate winner."
Yet absent a parliament and a constitution, a full power transfer
from the military would remove the last remaining checks and balances
on the untested President Morsi. If Mrs. Clinton had to give any
(unsolicited) advice, it would have been far more helpful and
acceptable to call for a constitution that would represents all
Egyptians and lay the foundation for a secular, modern, democratic
Egypt.
I can only imagine that the Obama team, having been late in
supporting the revolution against Mubarak, did not want to once again
find itself on what it thought would be the wrong side of history.
But in my opinion, the best foreign policy in the long term is one
that is true to universal values. If short-term political interests
preclude that, then those of us who know and respect the U.S. would
have preferred silence.
Ms. Khayat is chairman and founder of an asset management company
based in Egypt. She is a regular contributor of economic op-eds to Al
Masry Al Youm, an Egyptian daily. (Copyright © Dow Jones & Company,
Inc.) 07/31/12)
Return to Top
MATERIAL REPRODUCED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY