Wildly Diverging Polls: Likud Slipping, Soaring (INN) ISRAEL NATIONAL NEWS) By Gil Ronen 07/22/12)
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Wildly diverging voting polls published this weekend show the ruling
Likud party slipping to 25 Knesset seats, remaining steady at 27 – or
soaring to new highs with no less than 37 seats. In one poll, Likud
leads Labor by just 4 seats. In another, the gap is 19.
The first poll, conducted by Mina Tzemach for Yediot Aharonot and
published Friday, places Labor just four seats away from Likud, with
21 MKs to Likud´s 25.
The second, conducted by Maagar Mochot for Maariv and also published
Friday, puts labor at 17 MKs – a full 10 MKs behind Likud´s 27.
The third, carried out by the Geocartography Institute and published
Sunday, has Likud very comfortably ahead of the pack, with 37 MKs to
second-place Labor´s 16.
Such wildly different polls on consecutive days are unusual and it is
not clear what caused the differences in results.
In the latest poll, by Geocartography, Labor receives only 16 seats,
while Yisrael Beytenu decreases its presence in the parliament to 13
seats (from the current 15), and Shas shrinks to 5 seats (from
Kadima receives 6 seats in Monday´s poll. The so-called right wing
bloc – Likud, Yisrael Beitenu, Shas, the Jewish Home, United Torah
Judaism and National Union – garner 72 seats all together, compared
to 64 today.
In Yediot, writer Sima Kadmon interprets the data as showing Labor
leader Shelly Yechimovich has excellent chances of replacing Binyamin
Netanyahu. She sees Likud´s bad showing as a result of the flap over
enlistment of hareidim. Geocartography, on the other hand, sees the
flap as having benefited Netanyahu.
Maariv´s poll gives Yisrael Beytenu 16 projected seats, just one less
than Labor. (IsraelNationalNews © 2011 07/22/12)
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