Egypt rivals claim presidency as army tightens grip (REUTERS) By Marwa Awad and Yasmine Saleh CAIRO, EGYPT 06/18/12 1:46pm EDT)
Reuters News Service
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(Reuters) - Egypt´s agonized passage from revolution to democracy was
in limbo on Monday, as the Muslim Brotherhood claimed victory in a
presidential election while the generals who took over from Hosni
Mubarak decreed it was they who would keep power for now.
That drew a sharp rebuke from Washington, long the Egyptian
military´s financial sponsor. The Pentagon said it was "deeply
concerned" and urged the army to hand over "full power" to civilians -
but it made no mention of U.S. action if it did not.
The former general running against the Brotherhood´s Mohammed Morsy
scorned the Islamist´s self-declared triumph as a bid to "hijack" the
election. Ahmed Shafik, Mubarak´s last prime minister, said his data
showed it was he who was ahead.
After a day of counting, and mutual jibes over violations, there was
no official word on how the two-day run-off had gone and electoral
supervisors warned they may not publish a result until Thursday -
prolonging what for many Egyptians has become a wearisome deadlock
between a military past and religious future.
Shafik´s camp insisted he led by two to four points but even sources
in the army, which has fought the Brotherhood through six decades of
military rule, indicated they were preparing to accept that Morsy had
won Egypt´s first free presidential vote.
But whoever emerges as president - and one electoral official
privately endorsed Morsy´s claim to be leading by 52 percent to 48
with the bulk of votes counted - he will find his powers tightly
circumscribed by a decree issued by Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi´s
military council as polls closed on Sunday.
Having last week dissolved the parliament that was elected in January
with a thumping Islamist majority, the Supreme Council of the Armed
Forces (SCAF) said it would now take back the assembly´s legislative
powers and could also step in to break a deadlock in drafting a new
Liberals and Islamists called it a "military coup".
"Military Transfers Power - to Military," ran the ironic headline in
independent newspaper al-Masry al-Youm.
Tantawi, Mubarak´s defense minister for 20 years, had promised
Egyptians who entrusted him with their revolutionary gains to hand
power to civilians by July 1. That pledge, endorsed by the United
States, would be satisfied, the council said, with the induction of a
new civilian president by June 30.
Yet he will be a president who can only appoint a government whose
every law must be endorsed by SCAF. A timetable set down for writing
a constitution, passing it by referendum and then electing a
parliament could leave Tantawi in charge until 2013.
At the Pentagon, a spokesman said: "We are deeply concerned about the
new amendments to the constitutional declaration, including the
timing of their announcement as polls were closing ... We support the
Egyptian people in their expectation that the (SCAF) will transfer
full power to a democratically elected civilian government, as the
SCAF previously announced."
Facing a dilemma over how far to push its leverage over a close ally,
the biggest Arab army in a turbulent region where militant Islam is a
common threat, Washington released $1.3 billion of annual military
aid to Egypt in March despite slow progress on democracy. The
Pentagon said on Monday it wanted to maintain those close ties, but
would "monitor events closely".
"It is unclear who will rule, who the real leaders will be, and who -
if anyone - represents the people," said Anthony Cordesman at the
Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. "What
is clear is that Egypt is no closer to stability and a predictable
path to the future than before."
The Brotherhood, however, expressed its joy and defiance on the
streets and Morsy, a 60-year-old, U.S.-educated engineer who was a
political prisoner under Mubarak, promised to be a leader of all
Egyptians - a nod to the many, from Christians to secular liberals to
moderate Muslims, who fear intolerant clerical rule.
"Thanks be to God who has guided Egypt´s people to the path of
freedom and democracy, uniting Egyptians for a better future," Morsy
said in a victory speech to supporters in Cairo.
Hundreds of flag-waving supporters of the Brotherhood gathered in
Tahrir Square, where the anti-Mubarak revolt was launched on January
25, 2011, mainly by secular young urbanites.
"Thank God, we have got rid of military rule and the police state,"
said Mona Issam, one of several cheering women clad in robes and full-
face veils. "We hope Morsy takes power from the military council ...
We lived like strangers in our land under the old regime. We were
oppressed and Islam was not the law."
Hosni Qutb, a 45-year-old physician, derided Shafik as the "candidate
of Israel", in reference to the military rulers´ 33-year-old peace
treaty with Egypt´s Jewish neighbor. Israel fears growing hostility
from Cairo and said an Israeli and two militants were killed in an
attack on its border overnight.
Yet Monday´s celebrations were hardly noticed in the morning rush
hour and measured barely a drop compared with the human sea that
engulfed Cairo on February 11 last year when Mubarak fell, pushed
aside by generals fearful of losing their own privileges.
Morsy attracted support from many who reject his religious agenda and
the imposition of Islamic law but wanted to bar the way to Shafik,
70, whom they see as the heir to the old regime.
As Islamists cheered, unemployed Mohamed Mahmoud, 28, did not share
their joy: "I voted for Morsy but I can´t say I´m happy," he
said. "I´m still afraid of both and what they may do.
"I don´t want an Islamic state or a new Mubarak state."
"This decree just makes plain the hegemony of SCAF," said Khaled Ali,
a liberal lawyer eliminated in the first round of voting. "This
decree strips the president of the powers he was elected to have and
gives those to the military council."
The order indicated that the army, which controls swathes of Egypt´s
economy, has no intention of handing substantial power to its old
Islamist adversary and may be hoping that public disillusion with the
Brotherhood´s performance will reduce its influence on the new
constitution and the next parliament.
VIOLENCE IN CHECK
The Brotherhood has contested the army´s power to dissolve the
present parliament and, with other groups, has called for a mass
demonstration on Tuesday. It has warned of "dangerous days" ahead.
But few see the Islamists, who hung back at the start of the revolt
and spent much of the past year in uneasy symbiosis with the army,
launching a violent grab for power any time soon.
In a statement, the movement rejected SCAF´s right to issue a decree
but avoided direct confrontation: "SCAF must keep its word to the
people to hand over executive power to an elected president," it
said. In fact, it is "executive" power that the generals plan to
transfer, while keeping "legislative" rights.
A Western diplomat said the Brotherhood, badly bloodied in the 1990s,
would tread cannily: "What the counter-revolutionary forces would
like is for the Muslim Brotherhood to throw their forces onto the
street. Then there would be a real pogrom.
"That is why I don´t think it will happen."
A senior Brotherhood official, Essam el-Haddad, told Reuters: "This
is the beginning of a very tough path. The beginning of it is dealing
with the amended constitutional declaration that strips the president
of any real powers."
The failure of the new parliament to agree a consensus body to draft
a constitution - liberals accuse the Islamists of packing the panel
with religious zealots - has left Egyptians picking their way from
revolution to democracy through a legal maze, while the generals
control the map and change it at will.
General Mohamed Assar defended the actions of his comrades on
SCAF: "This big country, with its big problems, will face challenges
in its move towards democracy," he said, but added:
"With the support of this great people ... the first president in the
history of Egypt chosen by the people will soon begin building the
new renaissance of Egypt."
However, the experience of the past year has left many Egyptians
doubting that the military, and what they call the "deep state"
stretching across big business, Mubarak-era judges, security
officials and the army, will ever hand over control.
Political chaos has ravaged a vital tourist trade focused on pyramids
and Red Sea beaches and the latest turn of events, by prolonging
uncertainty, may further harm the economy. The main stock market
index fell 3.4 percent to a five-month low.
"How can you possibly make these huge economic decisions in such
circumstances?" says Gabriel Sterne, an economist at London
investment banking house Exotix. "Such events as these only serve to
undermine confidence and accelerate capital flight."
(Additional reporting by Dina Zayed, Tom Pfeiffer, Edmund Blair,
Shaimaa Fayed, Patrick Werr, Tom Perry, Alastair Macdonald and Samia
Nakhoul in Cairo; Writing by Alastair Macdonald; Editing by Samia
Nakhoul and Janet McBride) (© Thomson Reuters 2012. 06/18/12)
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