Israel, Alone at the Table (COMMENTARY MAGAZINE) Seth Mandel 05/31/12)
Source: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/05/31/israel-alone-at-negotiating-table/
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The popularity of the notion that Israel and the Palestinian
Authority should consider taking unilateral action seems to be
growing. I wrote in January about the proposal from Michael
Zantovsky, the Czech ambassador to the Court of St. James’s, that the
two sides engage in “coordinated unilateralism,” which would allow
each to take steps without waiting for a negotiated settlement. Then
a couple of weeks ago, I mentioned a recent event dedicated to this
idea at which Robert Malley suggested the Israelis and the
Palestinians take “parallel unilateral steps,” and Ami Ayalon
proposed something called a “friendly unilateralism.”
The point seemed to be that the current model for negotiations is
outdated and unrealistic. That certainly does seem to be the case–the
Palestinian leadership has gone from saying no to every Israeli offer
to simply ignoring the offers altogether. Because no one knows how
long the Palestinian silent treatment is supposed to last, a movement
to figure out how else to attain peace has been gaining steam. The
latest possible converts to this new plan, according to this Jodi
Rudoren report, include Ehud Barak. But Rudoren mentions the
obstacles to such action:
The Palestinian Authority has opposed any effort by Israel to decree
the contours of its territory and abandon a negotiated settlement on
a wide variety of issues, including the future of Jerusalem. The
Palestinian Authority, however, did take its own unilateral steps
last fall, when it pursued United Nations recognition, something it
is considering doing again. Israel has criticized such efforts for
stepping outside the bounds of negotiations. The Obama administration
has strongly opposed unilateral action by either side, and some
senior Israeli officials have worried that such a move by Israel
could provoke an uprising by Palestinians.
“The core issues of the conflict can only be resolved by direct
negotiations,” Daniel B. Shapiro, the United States ambassador to
Israel, said Wednesday. Nabil Abu Rudaineh, a spokesman for the
Palestinian Authority, also objected to the call for unilateralism,
saying, “This policy won’t lead to a solution and would prolong the
conflict. It will end the idea of the two-state solution.”
That sums it up pretty well. According to the Palestinian Authority,
they can take unilateral steps because without unilateral steps the
two-state solution is dead, and Israel cannot take unilateral steps
because that would kill the two-state solution. Also, the
Palestinians may conduct a new terror war against Israel if they
don’t like where this is going.
And according to the United States, whose leadership claims to
practice “realism,” the Oslo process hasn’t ceased to be, it’s simply
resting, or stunned, or pining for the fjords.
But for now, the unilateral disengagement from Gaza, and the
terrorist enclave it has since become, casts a shadow over any
proposed unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank. So Benjamin
Netanyahu continues to reiterate his willingness to negotiate at any
time, without preconditions. How long can the world expect Bibi to
sit alone at that table? In the absence of Palestinian interest and
American diplomatic creativity (or even flexibility), we’re about to
find out.
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