Negotiations or illusion? (ISRAEL HAYOM OP-ED) Ra´ed Amar 05/21/12)
Israel Hayom Articles-Index-Top
People need to understand that Iran will continue to play games and
hoodwink the West, even if it is seemingly involved in talks to
resolve the issue of its nuclear weapons program. We must take into
consideration that Iran has no plan whatsoever to abandon its nuclear
weapons program. Iran´s game is transparent. The Islamic republic is
trying to obtain a nuclear weapon; it has never had any other
intention, nor does it now.
An Arab leader from the early Islamic period, Muawiyah bin Abi-
Sufyan, who was known for his wisdom and political cunning, is
believed to have once said: If one hair was the only thing tying me
and the people together, it would never tear; if they pull, I will
let go; and if they let go, I will pull.
This is precisely the manner in which Iran is dealing with the West
(namely the United States and European Union). Iran is schooling them
in the art of sophisticated political maneuvering in the Middle East.
The proof of Iran´s drive toward obtaining a nuclear weapon lies in
the fact that it has not achieved any tangible results from its
actions — yet its acts of defiance against the world continue. Does
anyone really believe that Iran would harm its own interests merely
for the sake of playing a game or flexing its muscles?
If Iran was truly interested in a nuclear program for civilian
purposes, why has it engaged in such manipulations until now?
Moreover, how can we believe Iran wants a civilian nuclear program
when it has an abundance of oil, gas and other energy resources? Are
we sincerely to believe that Iran´s goal is medical research?
Only a serious threat to Iran´s regime and to its nuclear program
will push it off course, and only for a limited time. Only
significant physical damage to its nuclear installations or to the
current regime will have a long-term impact.
For Iran, only the stick is effective when it comes to the carrot-and-
stick approach. The carrot being offered to Iran — namely help in
creating civilian nuclear plants — only encourages Iran to continue
mocking Western powers.
Moreover, it is highly unlikely that Iran will agree to transfer the
uranium it has enriched to levels of 20 percent out of the country.
The only way Iran would suddenly agree to such an arrangement is if
it has other secret stockpiles, or if it is financially strapped. But
this too would be a temporary ploy to buy more time.
Hopefully the West´s diplomatic efforts to prevent Iran from
obtaining nuclear weapons will succeed, but it is reasonable to
expect they will fail. Why? Because there is a huge gap between
Iran´s great desire to obtain a nuclear weapon at any cost and the
West´s hopes it will be satisfied with a civilian program. An Iranian
civilian nuclear program would merely provide a fig leaf for a
military nuclear program.
That is why Iran will not allow inspectors to visit its facilities.
It will continue efforts to buy time and negotiate with the West,
while trying to find ways to advance its nuclear weapons program.
The most disconcerting aspect of this situation is that if Western
powers fear Iran´s response — and are wiling to offer it a deal —
even before Iran has attained a nuclear weapon, what will happen, God
forbid, after it does? (Copyright © 2012 FrontPageMagazine.com
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