Talks aim not to thwart Iran nukes, but to stop Israeli attack (ISRAEL HAYOM) Boaz Bismuth 05/20/12)
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ANALYSIS: The latest negotiations between Western powers and Iran
seem more intent on preventing Israeli military action against Iran´s
nuclear facilities than stopping the progress of Tehran´s nuclear
Nuclear talks between Iran and the P5+1 (the five permanent members
of the U.N. Security Council and Germany) are expected to resume on
Wednesday in Baghdad. It´s safe to assume that, like the talks in
Istanbul before it, this encounter will end with positive
declarations from all parties. Betting agencies in London seem more
excited about the return of the Greek drachma than they do about what
is expected to take place in Baghdad.
The Iranians, of course, will continue to boast about their
legitimate right to develop nuclear capabilities, including uranium
enrichment, for peaceful purposes. The international community,
meanwhile, will continue to pride itself on getting Iran back to the
negotiating table, while at the same time neutralizing the rise in
oil prices and increasing President Barack Obama´s chances of being
re-elected. Saeed Jalili, head of the Iranian nuclear delegation,
will talk about how Iran imposed its will on the world and continues
to enrich uranium (even if it is only to 3.5 percent).
We must understand that the challenge for Western powers today is,
essentially, how to prevent an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear
facilities. And if it´s possible, then perhaps they can
simultaneously prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
Since the nuclear talks were renewed in Geneva on Oct. 1, 2009, Iran
has behaved as if it is on equal footing with the countries it faces,
and for good reason: Take, for example, the location of talks this
week, Baghdad. Iran even chose that setting.
The New York Times can save itself the trouble of sending a
representative to Baghdad this week. The Times´ news item on Saturday
already revealed everything we can expect from the talks: The paper
is impressed that, for the first time in about a decade, the U.S.
is "hopeful." It goes on to explain that the oil embargo against Iran
will not be lifted, despite Tehran´s demands. Yet some relief is
expected when it comes to the sale of spare parts for planes and the
Iranian energy industry. The goal is to create a positive atmosphere
surrounding the talks.
International Atomic Energy Agency head Yukiya Amano is departing for
a trip to Iran on Sunday. Surprisingly, Tehran is going to allow
nuclear inspectors to visit the military base at Parchin, the
suspected site of nuclear testing, for the first time since 2009. In
one way or another, this visit will allow the international community
to show off that it signed an agreement with Iran. (Remember when
British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain visited Nazi Germany in
1938 seeking an agreement to avoid a German invasion and the war.
That deal was signed, yet Hitler crossed his fingers behind his back,
and went ahead with the invasion anyway despite diplomatic efforts to
Thirty-one years ago, Israel held a special "Shavuot night
rectification” (a reference to the Shavuot tradition of staying up
all night to study Torah) at the nuclear reactor near Baghdad. Now,
31 years later, Iran is working to avoid a similar "rectification" of
its nuclear project. To achieve this goal, Jalili understands he must
hamper Israel. The New York Times report on Saturday clarified, for
anyone who has yet to understand, that this issue has already been
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