Israel becomes a target in Egypt´s presidential vote (REUTERS) By Edmund Blair CAIRO, EGYPT 05/17/12 9:30am EDT)
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/17/us-egypt-election-israel-idUSBRE84G0RH20120517
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(Reuters) - Israel has become a punchbag for politicians vying for
votes in Egypt´s presidential race, playing on popular antipathy in
Egypt towards its neighbor, but the realities of office are likely to
ensure a 33-year-old peace treaty is not jeopardized.
An ex-air force commander in the race boasts of bringing down Israeli
aircraft in 1973, the last of Egypt´s four wars with Israel. One
Islamist often refers to Israel as the "Zionist entity", rather than
by name, and describes it as an "enemy".
A leftist candidate pledges to support the Palestinian resistance
against Israel, where officials have watched Egypt´s political
turmoil with increasing wariness after the downfall of Mubarak who
oversaw a cold yet stable peace.
None of the candidates want to tear up the document signed in 1979
but they repeatedly warn in rallies and debates it should be
reviewed. Many of them grumble at provisions in the U.S.-brokered
deal they say are biased in Israel´s favor.
Yet, beyond the bluster of the campaign trail, the next president´s
in-tray will be full of more pressing issues such reviving an economy
on the ropes.
He will also preside over a nation where the entrenched establishment
of the army and security services who kept the peace secure is still
in tact, putting a brake on any actions that could put the deal at
risk.
"Of course Israel is an enemy. It occupied land, it threatened our
security. It is an entity that has 200 nuclear warheads," Islamist
Abdel Moneim Abol Fotouh said in a TV debate when asked about Israel,
referring to a nuclear arsenal Israel is believed to possess but
neither confirms nor denies having.
Seeking to trip up his opponent in the novel TV face-off in a nation
that has never had an open leadership contest, Abol Fotouh pressed
former Arab League chief Amr Moussa on whether he too classed Israel
an enemy. Moussa chose the term "adversary."
Moussa, who like Abol Fotouh is a front-runner in the race, was
Mubarak´s foreign minister in the 1990s before moving to the League.
In both posts he was a vocal critic of Israel.
An Israeli newspaper commentator wrote last month that Moussa had
intense "disdain" for Israel.
"I intend to review the shape of relations," Moussa pledged,
describing "very big disagreements". However, he said the next
president would need to lead Egypt "with wisdom and not push it along
with slogans towards a confrontation we may not be ready for."
´STRONG STATE´
Others too have reflected a more cautious line when fielding
inevitable questions about Israel during campaign rallies.
Abol Fotouh, who often refers to Israel as the "Zionist entity", said
Egypt should review its treaties to ensure they were in the national
interest but was not looking to start any war.
Ahmed Shafik, who like Mubarak was a former air force commander
before joining the ex-president´s cabinet, told a rally when he was
questioned about Israel that "a strong state is not just one with
artillery and tanks but has a strong economy, strong science, strong
culture".
But tough talk still features on the campaign trail.
Leftist candidate Hamdeen Sabahy pledged in a television
interview: "I will support whoever resists Israel, not because of
nationalism, Arabism or morality, although this is what it is, but
because these are the laws of the United Nations."
Safwat el-Hegazi, an independent preacher who backs the Muslim
Brotherhood´s candidate Mohamed Mursi, has used his campaign rallies
to call for the establishment of a single Arab mega state with
Jerusalem as its capital.
Mursi criticizes Israel but says he would still respect the treaty,
which brings $1.3 billion a year of U.S. military aid. An aide to
Mursi said his candidate would not meet Israeli officials as
president, though his foreign minister would.
Western diplomats say popular pressure on a newly-elected president
could encourage more outspoken criticism of Israel. However, they say
the top army and security officials who have for years kept close
ties with their Israeli counterparts to coordinate across the border
were likely to keep ties steady.
"There are red lines and I think everyone is aware of them. Egypt
needs its close relationship with the United States, it needs the
financial assistance, the investment and the loans to survive," said
Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center.
The peace deal has been a cornerstone of Egypt´s foreign policy.
While it may not have the prominence Mubarak gave it, the generals,
who have overseen Egypt´s transition, are unlikely to let that change.
The army is expected to remain influential long after the formal
handover to a new president by July 1.
Nevertheless, Hamid said Egypt´s politicians could "test how far they
can go ... before arousing the wrath of the international community."
(Additional reporting by Tom Perry and Omar Fahmy; Editing by Sophie
Hares) (© Thomson Reuters 2012. 05/17/12)
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