The new national unity government (JERUSALEM POST OP-ED) By SUSAN HATTIS ROLEF 05/14/12)
Source: http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Op-EdContributors/Article.aspx?id=269787
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Like everyone else in Israel I went to sleep last Monday night
believing that elections to the 19th Knesset would be held on
September 4, and woke up the following morning to the reality of a
new national unity government. My first reaction to the news was to
blurt out: “the clever bastards.”
Why? Otto von Bismarck said in 1867 that “politics is the art of the
possible.” Binyamin Netanyahu, Ehud Barak and Shaul Mofaz managed to
pull off a political maneuver that a week earlier most observers
would have considered impossible.
The public outrage concerning the maneuver, which has been described
as political cynicism at its worst, is understandable, but not really
justified. I don’t think that political cynicism is the term to
describe what happened. Opportunism – or rather taking advantage of
an opportunity – seems to be a more suitable description. It is no
secret that neither Netanyahu, Barak nor Mofaz were excited about the
prospect of early elections in the first place, and two of the three –
Barak and Mofaz – had serious misgivings since opinion polls showed
that Kadima would be decimated, while Barak’s Independence Party
would probably fail to pass the qualifying threshold.
It should also be noted that if Netanyahu hadn’t reached the
conclusion two weeks ago that his coalition was unlikely to survive
the approaching political storms, and that therefore early elections
were preferable, the option of a national unity government with
Kadima wouldn’t have emerged at this juncture. But once it did emerge
none of the three party leaders could ignore its advantages. For
Barak and Mofaz the new coalition is a political life saver. For
Netanyahu it is a means of getting through the political storms on
the national level without new elections, and a time frame in which
to try and resolve some internal problems within the Likud that
manifested themselves during its Conference a week ago Sunday, and
threaten to split the party for the second time in seven years.
One of the major criticisms of the new coalition is that it commands
(at least for the moment) the support of 94 out of the 120 Knesset
Members. It is pointed out that an opposition of 26 MKs is much too
small to be effective, or to ensure the proper functioning of the
Knesset within the Israeli democratic system. In fact, this is not
the broadest coalition that Israel has had. The coalition of the 1984-
86 national unity government was even larger (96-97 MKs), but that
government managed to pull Israel out of a serious economic crisis
and put a temporary halt to the growing polarization in the Israeli
society without destroying its democratic fabric.
The question is what the new national unity government will achieve.
I have no idea whether those who say that the new coalition increases
the chances of Netanyahu and Barak attacking Iran before the
presidential elections in the US next November, have any basis for
their prediction. All I can say is that I hope they are wrong.
However, if the current government is be strong enough to introduce
the stringent budget that the current economic situation calls for;
to introduce a viable alternative to the problematic Tal Law with
regard to the military or national service of all sections of the
Israeli population; to find a legally and socially acceptable interim
solution to the problem of illegal settlement activities in the West
Bank; to renew the peace process with the Palestinians before the
next outbreak of violence; to introduce some necessary changes in the
Israeli system of government; and to seriously contend with some of
the justified demands of the social protest movement – dayenu.
I must admit that I am somewhat skeptical about the ability of the
new government to fulfill all, or even most of these hopes in a brief
period of 18 months. My skepticism also results from the fact that
there are too many inner contradictions in the coalition, and that it
is not at all certain that Netanyahu is willing to come to
loggerheads with the religious parties on the one hand, and the
settlers’ camp within his own party on the other, in order to
seriously contend with the issues. Furthermore, it is not clear what
changes Kadima wishes to introduce in the system of government (has
anyone seen its proposal?), whether the IDF is really prepared to
absorb thousands of haredim while maintaining its current ethos (for
example, with regard to women), and whether the peace process is
salvageable.
Nevertheless, I believe that the new coalition deserves to be given a
fair chance. If it succeeds, even partially – we all gain. If it
fails – the electorate will have a much better basis for evaluating
its options before the next general elections.
The writer teaches at the Max Stern Yezreel Valley College and was a
Knesset employee for many years. (© 1995-2011, The Jerusalem Post
05/14/12)
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