In Israel, surprise unity government consolidates Netanyahu’s strength (WASHINGTON POST) By Karin Brulliard and Samuel Sockol JERUSALEM, ISRAEL 05/08/12)
Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/centrist-kadima-party-agrees-to-join-israeli-coalition/2012/05/08/gIQAci1o9T_story.html
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JERUSALEM — Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the
centrist opposition party Kadima formed a surprise unity government
Tuesday, extinguishing plans for early elections and cementing
Netanyahu’s position as the strongest Israeli leader in years.
The deal gives the governing coalition a vast parliamentary majority,
fortifying Netanyahu’s mandate as he presses for possible military
action against Iran’s nuclear sites, an idea that has faced growing
domestic criticism. It could also shift the hawkish coalition toward
the center, granting Netanyahu room to weather threats of revolt by
right-wing factions and perhaps leeway to offer concessions to the
Palestinians.
The announcement of the secretly negotiated deal appeared to stun
even senior Israeli officials, who hours earlier had been moving to
dissolve parliament and prepare for early elections in September.
Netanyahu, whose Likud party had been expected to win easily, said
Tuesday that the agreement with Kadima leader Shaul Mofaz allowed him
to swiftly deliver what he had pledged to create after the elections —
a broad-based alliance that would ensure stability.
“I realized that it was possible to restore stability without holding
elections,” Netanyahu said at a joint news conference with Mofaz. He
called the deal “good for security, good for the economy and good for
the people of Israel.”
The agreement triggered a new round of speculation about the chances
of an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel deems an
existential threat. Some commentators said the deal meant that
Netanyahu had cleared his calendar to prepare for war. Others said
the sudden ascent of Mofaz, a former military chief and defense
minister who has expressed opposition to a unilateral Israeli attack,
made war less likely.
Neither man shed much light on the subject Tuesday, saying only that
they would discuss it seriously. In any case, some observers said,
the new coalition’s majority — 94 out of 120 seats in parliament —
would give new muscle to Netanyahu’s push for tough action against
Iran, allowing him to say more firmly than ever that he represents
the Israeli point of view.
“The decision that has been taken last night sends a very clear
message that this is the prime minister and this is the government
which people will have to deal with for a long time,” said Zalman
Shoval, a former ambassador to the United States and longtime adviser
to Netanyahu. “And this is a message both to our friends and to our
foes.”
Political considerations
The immediate aim of the deal, under which Mofaz became a vice prime
minister, is to push through a replacement for a law that exempted
ultra-Orthodox seminary students from military duty, an issue that
had divided Netanyahu’s coalition. The alliance was also split over
court-
ordered evacuations of West Bank settlements, and right-wing Likud
members had sought to oust Netanyahu’s key partner on the Iran issue,
Defense Minister Ehud Barak, who oversees such evacuations.
“It makes the makeup of the government more centrist and
representative of the whole gamut of Israeli society,” Dan Meridor, a
deputy prime minister, said in an interview. “We have more
flexibility in making decisions and not being dependent on small
parties with special agendas.”
For Kadima, whose representation in the Israeli Knesset after
elections was expected to shrink from 28 seats to 12, the unity deal
amounted to political resuscitation, at least until elections in
October 2013. Kadima is a Likud offshoot that was established in
2005, and the deal raised the possibility that it might eventually be
reabsorbed.
“I will be involved with all the national and security issues of the
state,” Mofaz told reporters, who asked why Kadima did not secure
more than one cabinet seat under the deal. “This is influencing.”
Both Kadima and Likud were viewed as interested in blunting the rise
of the Labor Party, which had promised to focus on the socioeconomic
issues that preoccupy many ordinary Israelis, and of a new party
formed by former television presenter Yair Lapid.
Despite the obvious motivations for both sides, the unity deal came
as a shock, particularly in light of Mofaz’s repeated insistence that
he would never join a coalition led by Netanyahu, whom he recently
called a “liar.”
Shelly Yacimovich, the Labor Party leader, called it “the most
ridiculous zigzag in the history of Israeli politics.” Danny Danon, a
right-wing Likud member, decried the agreement as “moving the
coalition to the center and reviving the political corpse that is the
Kadima party.”
Voice on security issues
Mofaz will now sit in Netanyahu’s inner security cabinet, giving him
a voice in key policy decisions. On Iran, what that voice will be is
unclear: Mofaz, who was born in Iran, has backed recent criticism by
former Israeli security chiefs who have accused Netanyahu and Barak
of wanting to rush into war. But as a cabinet minister in 2008, Mofaz
said a strike on Iran would be “unavoidable” if the country pursued
nuclear weapons.
Shoval said there were only “minor differences” between Mofaz and
Netanyahu on how to deal with the Iranian nuclear program. Both agree
that it is a serious threat and that all options — military and
diplomatic — should be considered, he said.
“I think that was probably the most important element in Mr.
Netanyahu’s decision — to come not only with a united but strongly
supported political front in tackling the Iranian issue, should
Israel be forced to take military steps,” Shoval said. “Or even if
not, in order to silence any impression which may have been created
in recent weeks that Israel is not united in its stance.”
The unity deal also included a pledge to “renew the political process
with the Palestinian Authority.” It was clear, though, that Netanyahu
and Mofaz had not settled what that meant. Mofaz said Tuesday that he
had drawn up an interim peace agreement based on borders and
security. But he said he would need to discuss it further with
Netanyahu, who reiterated his long-held stance that Israel is open to
discussions without preconditions, such as a freeze on settlements.
“The question is: Is there an ideological change in Netanyahu’s
positions?” said Gabriel Sheffer, a political scientist at Hebrew
University. (© 2010 The Washington Post Company 05/08/12)
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