France Lurches Left (FrontPageMagazine.com) by Jacob Laksin 05/07/12)
Source: http://frontpagemag.com/2012/05/07/france-lurches-left/
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France took a hard left turn yesterday with the election of Socialist
Prime Minister Francois Hollande, the first socialist candidate to
win the presidency in nearly two decades. The result, which had been
forecast since Hollande’s narrow victory over incumbent Nicolas
Sarkozy in the first round of voting on April 22, puts France on path
of increased government spending and higher taxes even as the
country’s debt climbs and its economy stagnates.
Hollande campaigned on a platform of class warfare and all
indications are that he will govern that way. While Europe’s
mainstream left parties have made peace with capitalism, Hollande
remains an unreconstructed tax-and-spend socialist. Showing little
regard for the country’s debt problems, he has promised a government
spending splurge to the tune of $26 billion over the next 5 years,
this even as he improbably claims he will lower the deficit to 3
percent by next year. A self-confessed hater of the wealthy – “I
don’t like the rich,” he once declared on television – he has also
pledged to enact a confiscatory 75 percent income tax on the highest
earners, as well as a separate “wealth tax” on assets and a bevy of
new taxes on estates, banks and big corporations. Where president
Obama has dressed up his redistributionist schemes in the guise
of “shared sacrifice,” Hollande is upfront about his intent to soak
France’s shrinking share of high-income earners. ”If there are
sacrifices to be made, and there will be, then it will be for the
wealthiest to make them,” he announced in the days before the
election.
While that message clearly resonated with Hollande’s leftist
supporters, a new war on wealth is the last thing France needs. The
hard truth is that France has lost its competitive edge in recent
years. Symbolic of the decline is France’s rigid labor market, a
persistently high rate of unemployment rate that stands at a 13-year
high of 10 percent, and a yawning trade deficit that topped $91
billion last year. Debt is a major drag on economic growth. French
public debt has spiked to 90 percent of the country’s annual output,
with the consequence that interest payments are now the second
highest government expenditure after education. France’s finances are
now in such perilous shape that in January the credit rating agency
Standard and Poor took the drastic step of stripping it of its triple-
A rating. Against this bleak background, Hollande’s plans to penalize
businesses and other wealth producers with crippling taxes is a
disaster in the making.
The most charitable take on Hollande’s agenda is that it is a gimmick
rather than a political roadmap. Some of his advisors have already
said that the 75 percent tax, for instance, is mostly a “symbolic
measure” that Hollande would not pursue once in office. But that is a
dangerous gamble because Hollande and the Socialists could soon have
a chokehold over French politics. Socialists already control all but
one of France’s 22 administrative regions, and the upcoming June
parliamentary elections may seal their majority status for some time
to come. At that point, there would be few restraints on Hollande’s
ambitions.
Among those ambitions is scuttling the German-led austerity plans
aimed at getting Europe’s spiraling debt under control. Hollande’s
election puts him on a collision course with German Chancellor Angela
Merkel, who has been a leading voice for the sensible idea that
Europe must change its free-spending ways, including cutting
unsustainable public spending, if it is to get is fiscal house in
order. Hollande represents the reactionary left’s belief that a
combination of more government borrowing and stimulus spending – the
very ills that brought Europe to its current pass – will somehow
rescue it from continent-wide economic crisis. Judging by his victory
speech, Hollande does not intend to back down on this front. He used
the occasion to declare that “Austerity can no longer be inevitable!”
The same may well be said of the alternative: a continued pattern of
government profligacy that has turned countries like Greece into
economic disaster areas.
As well as jeopardizing much-needed economic reform, Hollande’s
victory also forestalls a reckoning with the French election’s
sleeper-issue: the growing problem of a culturally dislocated and
increasingly radicalized Muslim immigrant community. That problem was
highlighted most recently by the case of Mohammed Merah, a second-
generation Muslim immigrant from Algeria who went on a grisly
shooting spree in Toulouse in which he gunned down seven people,
including soldiers and children at a Jewish day school. While the
French left reflexively condemned any attempt to link Islam with the
Merah’s acts, ignoring the fact that he had called out “Allahu
Akhbar” while slaughtering his victims, the issue was clearly on the
minds of French voters, who responded by giving the far-right, anti-
immigrant National Front a record share of the vote in the first
round of voting in April. Marine Le Pen, the National Front’s
candidate, had decried Islamic radicalism as “green fascism,” a
reference to Islam’s dominant color.
Sarkozy tried to co-opt the issue in the final days of the campaign,
calling for new restrictions on immigration, but those policies are
unlikely to be revived in a Hollande presidency. To his credit,
Hollande has opposed laws specially accommodating Muslims. He has
vowed to enforce France’s ban against the burqa and promised to
resist Muslim appeals for separate menus in public cafeterias as well
as separate swimming hours in public pools for men and women. Still,
the Socialist Party has drawn significant support from Muslim voters,
and as such it’s hard to envision a frank discussion of Muslim
integration becoming a part of the political conversation after
Hollande’s victory.
For Sarkozy, the defeat is a painful setback for a canny politician
who once enjoyed record approval ratings. But his early support
evaporated following a series of personal gaffes, most notably a
divorce from his wife and a highly public courtship of supermodel
Carla Bruni. Sarkozy is partly a victim of a poor economic climate,
but he did not help his cause by pursuing a timid policy agenda that
failed to live up his campaign promises of bold economic reform even
as it featured government spending nearly as lavish as what Hollande
now promises. Disillusioned with Sarkozy’s effective socialism,
France must hope it fares better with the genuine article. (Copyright
© 2012 FrontPageMagazine.com 05/07/12)
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