Three Irrational US Mideast Policies (JEWISH PRESS) By: Vic Rosenthal 05/06/12)
Source: http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/analysis/three-irrational-us-mideast-policies/2012/05/06/?hpcr
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I want to discuss three positions taken by the Obama Administration
which are opposed to American interests and make war, not peace,
more likely. There are many other issues that I could discuss, both
about the Mideast and elsewhere, but these are emblematic of the
general problem.
Position 1. Sanctions and negotiations can cause Iran to give up the
pursuit of nuclear weapons.
The possession of nuclear weapons will give Iran the power to
dominate the Muslim Middle East, economically and politically. This
is the primary goal of the revolutionary regime. The Iranian
leadership is not averse to any hardship that may be felt by the
general populace, because 1) as a totalitarian regime they are not
politically accountable to their people, and 2) any form of economic
sanctions will always be ‘leaky’ enough to permit favored elements to
receive the resources they need, especially since Russia and China
will not be cooperative with the West.
The result of negotiations will, at best, be that the Iranian
strategy will change from a straight-line effort to get deliverable
weapons to a “just in time” strategy in which all the pieces except
the final assembly of a weapon are put in place.
The only thing short of military intervention that could make them
stop would be a credible threat thereof, combined with a thorough and
effective inspection program. This isn’t going to happen in time.
Meanwhile, the enrichment of uranium and other development continues.
Position 2. The threat against the West from radical Islam comes
primarily from al-Qaeda, and not radical Islam in general.
The Muslim Brotherhood is not any less radical, from an ideological
point of view, than al-Qaeda. Where it differs is that it thinks,
quite rationally, that for it, today, violent jihad against the West
is likely to be counterproductive. Once it cements its control over
the most populous country in the Middle East, it may think
differently.
The Obama Administration supports — or at least does not not oppose —
the Brotherhood in Egypt, has allowed Hizballah to take almost total
control of Lebanon, restricts Israel from acting against Hamas in
Gaza, and applauds the Islamist Erdoğan regime in Turkey — with which
it collaborates in working to replace the imploding Assad government
in Syria with an Islamist regime (and I might add that before Assad’s
difficulties, it called for ‘engagement’ with him).
On the home front, the administration does not consider radical Islam
a threat, unless it is related to al-Qaeda. So it is supposed to be
reassuring when someone is arrested for trying to explode a car bomb
in Times Square and we are told that “he wasn’t a member of a
recognized terrorist organization.”
The obsession with al-Qaeda, which, as Barry Rubin points out,
doesn’t control countries with populations in the millions like Iran,
Lebanon and Egypt, is worse than irrational — it causes us to ignore
trends whose results will be disastrous in the near future.
Position 3. The Israeli-Arab conflict can be ended by withdrawal from
the territories.
Although there is abundant evidence that the PLO is not prepared to
end the conflict with Israel regardless of the amount of land it is
given, and that anyway an Israeli withdrawal from Judea and Samaria
would likely lead to a Hamas takeover and missile attacks on the
center of the country, the Obama Administration continues to insist
that a “two-state solution” would bring peace.
The “land for peace” formula has been a failure, both in Gaza and
increasingly with Egypt, thanks to the Islamist ideology that
characterizes Hamas and is sweeping Egypt. While the PLO has a
secular ideology, they are no less dedicated to reversing the nakba
and recovering their ‘honor’ by eliminating the Jewish state.
Forcing Israel to make concessions encourages the Arabs to make more
demands and to express their ‘frustration’ when no concession is
enough by intifadas and terrorism, to which Israel is forced to
respond. This is a path to war, not peace.
So why does the administration cleave to such irrational positions?
Unsurprisingly, the answer to this is also ideology. Barack Obama and
many of his appointees share a New Left sensibility, which includes
the ideas that colonialism and imperialism — particularly ‘US
imperialism’ is the root of all evil, that it is meaningless to
suggest that one culture could be morally superior to another, and
that national interests should be subordinated to multilateral
cooperation. Many of them accept “postcolonial” theory, in which
the ‘colonized’ party — Iran, Muslims, the Palestinians — is
considered morally superior to the ‘colonizers’ and is permitted to
express itself violently if necessary to ‘resist’ colonization.
The challenge from Iran is a challenge to Western control of the
region: for lack of a better phrase, to Western imperialism. While in
principle this is less than ideal, the world in practice would be a
far worse place if the Middle East were dominated by radical Iranian
imperialists. The administration is incapable of seeing this and
loathe to employ traditional gunboat diplomacy to fix it.
The same ideology blinds it to the nature of radical Islam (all
cultures are assumed to be of equal value, Muslim countries
are ‘colonized’), as well as the Israeli-Arab conflict. In that case,
we know that the Left sees it as the epitome of a struggle of
national liberation from colonial bondage — which of course is almost
exactly the opposite of the truth, which is that it is a reactionary
attempt to crush the expression of Jewish self-determination.
Would a Romney Administration be different?
I strongly doubt that Mr. Romney and his associates share the New
Left, post-colonialist ideology of the Obama Administration. So at
least his policy would not be skewed by this particular perspective.
There is also another factor at work in connection with the Israeli-
Arab conflict. It seems to be the case that Mr. Obama has a visceral
dislike for Israeli PM Netanyahu. It was on display when he abandoned
the Prime Minister to go to dinner in March 2010, when he publicly
demanded Israeli withdrawal to 1949 lines while Netanyahu was en
route to the US in May of 2011, and when he made his famous ‘open
microphone’ remark to French President Sarkozy last November. Whether
it is ideological in basis or just personal, there is no doubt that
it is real. Romney, on the other hand, has known Netanyahu for some
time and is said to have a good relationship with him.
http://fresnozionism.org/2012/05/three-irrational-us-mideast-
policies/
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