Sinai is unhinged; Egypt is worsening; Syria is unstable, and oh yes, there´s Iran too (ISRAEL HAYOM) Amos Regev and Yoav Limor interview, IDF Chief of General Staff Lt. Gen Benny Gantz 04/27/12)
Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_article.php?id=4106
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As Israel turns 64, the country stands before one of the most fateful
decisions it has ever had to make, in a region undergoing intense
tumult • In a wide-ranging interview, IDF Chief of General Staff Lt.
Gen Benny Gantz looks at the challenges and threats of our
neighborhood, and calls on the government to enact compulsory duty
for all citizens, saying "We are half-the-people’s army. It´s not
sustainable."
Gantz: “The IDF must use every avenue to prepare an operational
alternative wherever it will be asked to take action."
IDF Chief of General Staff Lt. Gen Benny Gantz is aware of the
decisive role that history has summoned him for. Unlike a number of
his predecessors, he is taking pains to avoid placing himself at the
center of attention by making his opinions public. At the same time,
however, he has stated his opinions frankly and forthrightly when
asked.
When we met this week shortly after Holocaust Remembrance Day and
just before Independence Day, the period which symbolizes the days in
which we recognize destruction and celebrate renewal, he was very
careful not to cross that thin line separating a public servant and
an elected official. But reading in between the lines of what he
said, it is possible to discern clear-cut, unequivocal positions.
“An Iran with a militarized nuclear capability could potentially be
an existential threat, but it is not necessarily an existential
threat,” he said. “These statements were made in the past and I think
it would be appropriate to clarify them. We are the strongest country
in the region, and I think that we need to make sure that the
situation stays this way in the future. The problem of a nuclear Iran
is much more of a global problem than it is an Israeli problem, so we
need to find every possible way to make sure that the international
community doesn’t let up in dealing with this, and I think that it is
doing this. I think that what we see in terms of sanctions and the
international pressure and the statements that we hear from the
Americans are all indications that the world is moving in this
direction.”
And what if the world doesn’t succeed?
“The IDF must use every avenue to prepare an operational alternative
wherever it will be asked to take action; and at the last possible
moment that this will be feasible given the strategic conditions that
prevail. And this is what the IDF has been doing in recent years. I
think we have a considerable capacity to act. In a businesslike
fashion, we need to prepare to implement this capability, but we
should also understand the ramifications of this type of event.”
Do you believe the Americans are serious in their intentions to stop
Iran?
“I believe they are serious. They are simply judging the situation
from a different point of view than we are. The difference between us
and the Americans are found in two areas: the scope of our capacity
to act, and the sense of urgency. They have many more capabilities,
but, as a result, they don’t feel that sense of urgency. We do feel a
great sense of urgency. There is also the simple yet critical fact
that there aren’t two giant oceans that separate us from Iran, and we
are living with our civilians in a war zone.”
In your meetings with them, have they tried to convince you not to
attack?
“In the meeting room, I hear the same things that you have heard in
public, only worded differently. We haven’t asked for permission and
we haven’t been given any stop signs. Israel is a sovereign state
with the ability to make its own decisions, and they [the Americans]
understand this as well. There are discussions and exchanges of
opinion on strategic matters, but I do not ask anyone for permission,
and I don’t accept dictates.”
If Iran decides to make a mad dash toward the bomb, how long would it
take for it to manufacture one?
“It’s a matter of a year, two years.”
And if the supreme leader, Khamenei, decided to attain a militarized
nuclear capability, would we know about it in time?
“I think that we will either see a major breakthrough or some
integrative processes, or something else that we are supposed to see
in this whole story. So we need to make every effort, in conjunction
with the international community, and particularly the Americans, to
make sure this doesn’t happen, and to prepare for the possibility
that we will have to face this challenge.
“It seems to me that on the one hand it is our professional duty to
prepare an operational alternative, and on the other hand to maintain
a strategic dialogue where it needs to take place. From the most
ethical place possible, I am telling you that we are handling this in
the most professional and clear-sighted way possible. And we are not
devoid of this capability. Far from it.”
Is the home front ready for what is likely to happen in the wake of
such an attack?
“The home front needs to get itself organized irrespective of the
Iranian issue. The threat of missiles and rockets present in the
Middle East, with or without Iran, requires the home front to be
ready. We are talking about tens of thousands of missiles deployed
from the north and almost 10,000 missiles deployed in the south, so
we need to continue to improve the defenses of the home front,
because life in the Middle East will not change.”
Depth missions
One of the most significant decisions made by Gantz in the 15 months
he has been on the job was to establish the Depth Corps, a fourth
army command [the IDF currently has Southern, Central, and Northern
Commands] assigned to handle theatres that do not have a common
border with Israel. These are areas, far away from our borders, in
which terrorists hold training camps and orders are giving to carry
out attacks against Israel. The goal of the new command is to combine
the capabilities of units and organizations, so as to enable new
forms of thinking to come to the fore and to craft new operational
plans.
“The long-range threat is not something that I can ignore,” Gantz
tells us. “The range of the weapons arrayed against us, the terror
networks – these are no longer the first or second line of defense,
the point of contact. This type of traditional fighting still exists,
but the threats hatched against us from afar are such that we need to
know how to be ready to deal with them directly - with the aid of
international actors in the intelligence and technological fields.
Combat battalions today are not just battalions in the literal,
traditional sense, but they are also Iranian forces who are operating
everywhere, and Libya, which is a huge weapons cache. And who knows
what will happen with Syria and Iraq. We are examining all of these
areas from an intelligence standpoint, and a new command will be
required to address these issues and to develop operational ideas
and, if the need arises, to command these depth missions.”
Will this really happen? Because there is a sense that many in Israel
are fearful of such actions over the large number of potential
casualties.
“Our day-to-day routine, and here I’m limited as to what I’m able to
say, doesn’t mean that we aren’t doing anything. Besides, we are
developing a combat doctrine out of the understanding that we will
have to operate on a number of fronts, at great distances, all at the
same time.
“Obviously we will make every effort to minimize casualties as much
as possible, but this will not dictate whether or not we act because
we just don’t have that luxury. In addition, the home front will be
subject to an active, potent threat, so it would be proper for the
army to take these risks.”
We sat down with Gantz at the height of the scandal which engulfed
the deputy brigade commander, Lieutenant Colonel Shalom Eisner, who
struck a Danish national during a protest in the Jordan Valley. Gantz
received the results of a preliminary probe. After he was briefed on
the final results of the investigation, he made the decision to
remove Eisner from his post. The IDF chief determined that Eisner had
failed to live up to his professional, moral, and military
obligations that befit a commander.
Gantz believes the entire saga is not a reflection of Eisner as a
person, but he is very disturbed not just by the incident but also by
the fact that it took Eisner over 24 hours to report the
incident. “This is a failure on the command level,” he said. “A
professional failure is how your prepare for these kinds of
incidents. A failure on the command level is how you perform during
the incident, and an ethical failure is how you behave as a person
and an officer.”
The gates of the West Point Military Academy bear the words “Duty,
Honor, Country.” What is your motto for the army?
“I cannot be around officers who do not simultaneously bring with
them these two qualities: determination and wisdom that befits a
commander. A smart commander who is not determined won’t help me. A
determined commander who isn’t smart or wise also doesn’t help me.
And I am one of those commanders who demand both of these qualities.
“I demand that my commanders lead from the front because that is the
only way they will understand what is going on in the battlefield, so
that they can correctly hand out orders and decide what action to
take. This is because I cannot possibly see what it is that they see.
I’m dying to see it, but I don’t see it. And this is what our
commanders need to understand, and I think that ultimately they
understand this.”
“In this incident, there was an error, and determination on its own
cannot solve this. One also needs wisdom. This is what separates a
commander from the regular soldier. Otherwise, the commander and the
soldier would be the same thing. He is there first and foremost as a
fighter, that is true, but he is also a commander and he needs to
bring both [of these qualities].
“I don’t send a logistics officer to break up demonstrations. I send
the brigade commander, the deputy brigade commander, a battalion
commander. He needs to know to bring both determination and wisdom
that is becoming a commanding officer, and [Eisner] didn’t do this.”
Are you disturbed by the fact that this incident has been turned into
a political issue where the Left has taken a position against the
officer while the Right is automatically supportive of him?
“I judge people’s behavior, and not what it is that someone is trying
to say about somebody else about this or that issue. In the complex
world in which I live, there is just one solution, which is quite
simple, and that is ‘truth.’ This is the only immunizing apparatus
that I know of. I’ve been a soldier for 30 years, and I know that if
you give people the truth as it is, they cannot argue with it. This
is my way of immunizing myself, and it is the only way to survive in
this complex world, and that is with the truth.”
Perhaps this is another symptom of societal problems and
disagreements over religion, politics, and international intervention?
“This is a serious problem, and I will explain. On the Iranian issue,
you will write whatever you write and the commentators will say what
it is they know and a few former officials will talk, but the state
will leave us to deal with it.
“On the other hand, when we are talking about the relations between
the army and society, then everybody is suddenly an expert and
everyone has something to say. Paradoxically, we have an opposite
scenario. That means that issues which I deal with 20 percent of the
time become issues that I deal with 80 percent of the time, and vice
versa. And this is because everyone is suddenly an expert.
“Take, for example, the issue of how soldiers commute from their
homes to the base. What is your story here? They kept us busy with
this whole issue of train tickets for soldiers. The free tickets for
soldiers initiative is a project that succeeded and it was introduced
to aid the welfare of soldiers. Society likes to deal with things
that it thinks it understand, while leaving us to deal with other
things.”
In his year as army chief, Gantz has been forced to deal with
incidents of discrimination against women as well as the “Yizkor”
incident, events that once again raised questions about the role of
religion in the IDF. It is a question that has become more urgent
given the growing influence of national religious soldiers in combat
units and the senior and junior officer corps.
“These are wonderful boys,” Gantz said. “They are patriotic, they are
part of us, and I really don’t see this as a problem. I don’t look
underneath soldiers’ helmets to see what’s there. I do think that the
state needs to ask itself how it is dealing with issues of compulsory
military service for everyone, which is a critical issue.”
“The citizens of the State of Israel need to give of themselves to
the State of Israel, because the army has been, is, and needs to
continue to be the first thing that people look at as an entity of
volunteers, an entity of people performing a service, an entity that
is seen as addressing the country’s needs. This is because our
geopolitical environment is different than the one that the Swiss
army chief of staff needs to deal with. He was in my office about
six, seven months ago and he bragged to me how his defense budget
increased because of the problems in the Middle East. I couldn’t
believe what I was hearing.”
So what is the solution?
“Compulsory duty. Compulsory duty for all citizens of the State of
Israel, no matter who they are. It’s not just military service, it’s
obligatory service.”
You’re a reasonable guy. Does this have a chance of passing from a
political standpoint?
“The state has to do this. We are half-the-people’s army, this is not
okay, and this is not sustainable. You can wait another year or two,
or you could make some shady, under-the-table agreement that will
last three or four years, but this won’t really put off the decision
for another day, nor will it solve the problem.
“We have no choice, we must decide to go for some kind of solution,
one that is more reasonable and fairer. It’s a question of fairness,
and I think fairness will be an issue of tremendous significance for
Israeli society in the future.”
Last summer’s social protest pushed the IDF into a corner. On the one
hand, it has to deal with a slew of defense tasks and challenges,
with special emphasis on the Iranian issue and the revolutions
sweeping the Middle East. On the other hand, it will have to cope
with the need for cuts in the defense budget in order to free up
budgets and resources for socioeconomic needs. Not only has Gantz
been asked to make cuts and mull the suspension of training and a
dwindling of supplies, but he has also found himself engaged in head-
to-head clashes with Finance Ministry officials, and even the finance
minister himself, who accused the army chief of failing to comprehend
his subordinate status in relation to the civilian echelon.
“If there’s something that I understand well, it is the subordinate
status of the army to the political echelon,” Gantz says. “I think
that these statements were out of place, out of line, and incorrect.
But this isn’t the important thing. It isn’t a personal dispute
between me and the finance minister. The State of Israel has a prime
minister and a government that has a responsibility, and I told the
government that we will do whatever it decides we should do, and if
it decides that we need to wage war by throwing stones, so be it, we
will fight with stones.
“We will not stop discharging our mission because of this issue. We
will simply inform you of the consequences. Sometimes it’s
inconvenient for people to hear these things, so they make the
accusations that they do.”
Is there no money?
“The key question is what the multi-year budget will look like.
During one of my meetings with the prime minister, I told him that my
first mission as a soldier from an operational standpoint was to
provide security for Anwar Sadat when he arrived in Jerusalem to talk
peace. Now I’m the chief of staff, and it is unclear to me who the
next president of Egypt will be and what policies that country will
take.
“Forty years have gone by, and we are approaching a situation in
which I hope will be better, one in which there will be respect for
civil rights, where the street will indeed have influence on the
decision makers in other countries because this would be a pretty
good prelude to democracy, where women’s rights will be such that a
woman will not be beaten with sticks if she is caught driving, as we
have seen in Saudi Arabia. All is well and good, let there be no more
wars here.
“But why do I have a feeling that this is not what will happen? Why
do I have the feeling that in Egypt a regime is coming to power that
no matter what happens we will not be in as good a place as we were?
Why do I get the feeling that Sinai is coming unhinged from a
security standpoint? In fact, it is already unhinged. Why do I get
the feeling that Syria, with or without Assad, will not be the same
stable place, even if it was an unfriendly place before, and in the
best case scenario it will be unstable but not hostile to us while in
the worst case scenario, it will be both unstable and hostile?
“And why do I get the sense that Hezbollah is five times stronger
than what it was during the Second Lebanon War? Why do I know that
Gaza has 10,000 missiles, with more to come?
“I don’t know what is going to happen in Iraq, and I don’t know what
is going to happen in Iran, and we have seen the value of stable
regimes. In other words, we are living in a Middle East in which I
believe the window of opportunity has closed, and we cannot afford to
take risks regarding future developments.”
Does the treasury not understand this?
“I have no problem with whatever budget they decide upon, but it
should be made perfectly clear: We will have a stripped-down army. In
other words, we will have an untrained, ill-equipped army that is
short on supplies and one that will not be fully prepared to carry
out its missions. We cannot allow this to happen, and this has
nothing to do with me personally.
“This is the most important organization that the state has from a
security standpoint, and we are not in Switzerland. I don’t think
that defense is the top priority in this country, because I think
education is. Still, when I look at how we live our lives here, I
cannot ignore this basic fact.”
The test of victory
Gantz is wont to speak in a low voice. His words are measured
carefully, and his tone is calm. There are moments when he stops to
think in order to make sure that his statements are accurate. At no
point does he ever raise his voice, at least during our interview.
Rare are the moments when he loses his cool. This is why he has often
been accused of lacking sufficient assertiveness, and that he lacks
sharpness from an operational standpoint. The few top generals who
have followed him closely during his tenure and gained insight into
the sensitive jobs he has undertaken throughout his career beg to
differ with these statements. They claim that Gantz sanctifies deep
thought and careful consideration, but he knows when to cut to the
chase if necessary.
Still, his real test, the only one by which he will be measured, is
victory, in single operations and, above all, in war. He believes
that the army is still capable of gaining victory. “We will win
wherever we find ourselves in action,” he said. “There’s no doubt
about it.”
What constitutes victory?
“You need to differentiate between victory, which is a strategic
term, and dealing the decisive blow in battle, which is an operative
concept. The state will not win if we don’t deal the decisive blow,
and we need to deal a number of decisive blows so that the state will
win.”
Let’s be more specific. What constitutes a decisive blow in Gaza?
“We can conquer Gaza. It’s just a question of what price we have to
pay on a national level. It’s not an issue of the number of
casualties, because in war there are always casualties, but it’s a
question of administering Gaza for an extended period of time. We are
capable of bringing about a situation whereby the Gaza Strip will not
want to continue the war. ‘Cast Lead’ established a new threshold of
deterrence that was intact for a relatively limited time, but the
atmosphere of that operation is still with us. If I take the Second
Lebanon War, which was supposedly a less successful war, the
strategic results of that war are very strong in terms of the
deterrence established. So these are the philosophies and the
strategies that we are promoting in order to make even more
impressive gains in the future.”
And what constitutes a decisive blow against Iran?
“That is a much wider, and more strategic issue. It isn’t on the same
plane as the Gaza and Lebanon cases, because it has more to do with…
let’s call it strategic blows.”
From your vantage point, as an army general, one can assume that your
point of view has changed. There was a time when you used tactical
maps. Now, you look at the entire globe, right?
“To say I look at a globe would be a bit of a stretch, but you could
see for yourselves. I have a tiny map in front of me, but when I want
to be reminded of the proper proportions, I open up another screen on
the computer (he clicks the mouse, and the screen affixed to the wall
shows a much larger map which stretches from Greece in the West to
Iran in the East). It’s important that we know how to develop general
ideas, operative ideas, and even command certain missions. The way in
which we perceive decisive blows and the way in which we perceive
combat require us to work simultaneous on numerous fronts and at long
distances.
Can we deal a decisive blow against Iran?
“I don’t think that we need to aim for a decisive blow. I think that
we need to deal with Iran.”
And what of the terrorism in Sinai?
“When it comes to Sinai, we need to provide an operational response
that will be predicated on intelligence-gathering capabilities as
well as defensive capabilities while preserving, to the highest
degree possible, our cooperation with Egypt in order to prevent the
region from spinning out of control and to be ready for bad days
ahead that I hope do not come.”
Do you think the solution for all of these fronts is for Israel to
live underneath a ceiling that protects us from missiles?
“On a fundamental level, the State of Israel, particularly its large
urban population centers, needs to live under a defensive ceiling. It
is by no means hermetic, and it won’t provide the ultimate solution
in the future. This defensive means is needed to allow the army to
exhaust its offensive capabilities and its ability to deal a decisive
blow.
“From a strategic standpoint, we cannot continue to ensure our
existence here strictly from a defensive posture. Can my soccer team
send all 11 players on offense and leave just one goalkeeper behind?
No, this is impossible. I need to also have defensive players back
there. But wars have always been decided by offensive campaigns.”
Gantz, makes no effort to conceal his optimism. When we asked him
about those who wonder if the State of Israel will survive, his
answers are emphatic.
“The people of Israel can be proud and confident, but they must also
be sober-minded, because I don’t think that the environment in which
we live is one devoid of challenges. But we need to be balanced and
to know how to provide the appropriate solutions, with an eye toward
history and not in a way that suggests hysteria.”
“We should remember from whence we started,” he said on Independence
Day. “We should remember where we are now, and what a long way we
have come. I really think that we have a lot to be proud of. I think
that ultimately we should look at ourselves and say, ‘If we’ll be
okay, then things will be okay.’”
Gantz points to two framed pictures that sit on the bookshelf behind
his desk. One picture is that of David Ben-Gurion, and the other is a
framed picture of a poem written by Ze’ev Jabotinsky. Next to the two
pictures is a glass that is halfway filled with wine, which for him
symbolizes what is really important.
“In the 1980s, my mother was lying in a hospital in Bonn, Germany,”
he says. “She had just gone through a surgery that was just
incredibly difficult, awful. She’s barely alive at this point. She
puts a flower and this glass of wine on her. The hospital ward
director comes by in the morning to see how Frau Gantz is doing. So
she says to the director, ‘Listen, the surgery was difficult and all
that, but I’m still alive, so I’m looking at the glass half-full.”
The doctor was a Palestinian who was born in Gaza, worked as a
dishwasher in an Israeli hummus joint in order to save money for
medical school, and ended up treating the mother of a battalion
commander of the paratroopers who in 30 years would become the chief
of staff.
What is the lesson here?
“The strategic reality around us keeps me quite preoccupied, but I
know that I can’t really impact it, because I can’t set things
straight in Egypt or Syria. I need to be ready for the outcomes in
these places, and to propose solutions that will work toward coping
with these kinds of events.
“But I’m also disturbed by the budget issue and by ensuring that the
army is not stripped down, and that it will be able to continue to
blossom and develop. These things which either do not depend on us or
are insoluble still need a solution.
“The only thing I know for certain is that we are here. Can I say
that I can sit in one room with a woman, an ultra-Orthodox man, a
religious person, a rightist, and leftist, a Jew, and a non-Jew and
say that this is one state? As officers in the IDF, it’s out of our
hands. These aren’t questions that are dealt with in my work
environment. But I do hope for a happy ending.”
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