Ashton, Not Obama, in Charge of Iran Talks (COMMENTARY MAGAZINE) Jonathan S. Tobin 04/17/12)
Source: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/04/17/ashton-not-obama-in-charge-of-iran-talks/
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Laura Rozen’s account of the behind-the-scenes action during the
Iranian nuclear talks in Istanbul undermines the notion that
President Obama is in control of the P5+1 diplomatic process that he
fiercely defended during the weekend. As Rozen’s reporting makes
clear, it is the European Union’s Catherine Ashton who was clearly in
charge of the affair, and as long as that fierce critic of Israel is
calling the shots, it’s unlikely the Iranians will surrender their
nuclear ambitions.
Indeed, by championing Iran’s right to nuclear development, which
could be ultimately used for military purposes, Ashton may be
steering the negotiations toward a deal that will be represented as
defusing the crisis while not removing the threat of an Iranian bomb.
Though the Europeans are championing the idea that the talks have
value, the Iranians seem to be back to their old tricks in convincing
their negotiating partners of their interest in a solution while
sticking to a playbook whose only objective is to remove the threat
of an oil embargo in exchange for giving up nothing. This may be
Obama’s idea of a ticking clock, but with Ashton dragging out the
process, there is, as even Rozen concluded, little likelihood that
real progress is in the offing.
As Rozen makes clear, the Iranians seem all too comfortable with
Ashton as their chief interlocutor. Though Ashton, a failed leftist
British politician who has become the EU’s foreign policy chief, is
praised for her skill in orchestrating the talks, her coziness with
the Iranians has to worry President Obama. According to Rozen, she
spent a three-hour dinner with the top Iranian negotiator
discussing “political party funding in the U.S.,” a clear illusion to
the influence of the pro-Israel community and President Obama’s need
to sound tough about the nuclear question. This nugget raises the
inescapable conclusion that Ashton’s position may actually be closer
to the Iranians than it is to that of Washington.
Rozen’s reporting on the way the Europeans and others who are
committed to the myth of what the president calls a “diplomatic
window” with Iran were played by the Iranians also gives us a good
idea of how effective Tehran’s representatives were in Istanbul.
Using the same tactics employed in the previous attempts to talk them
out of their nuclear program, the Iranians raised the hopes of the
Euros for a while and then dashed them. By the time they were
finished, Ashton and her crew actually thought they had come out
ahead because the Iranians had agreed to another meeting, albeit one
that would not be held until the end of May. The article also makes
it clear the long delay before the next round that will be held, at
Iran’s behest, in Baghdad, is due as much to Ashton as anyone else.
Even those cheering the diplomatic process admit the talks would have
had more credibility if there had been a bilateral meeting between
the U.S. and Iran. But it never happened, though Rozen claims
Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman made a good impression on
everyone in Istanbul by taking an appropriately “tough” attitude with
the Iranians. But the most important thing to understand about
Sherman is that she was the Clinton administration’s North Korea
Policy Coordinator. Which means she is among those responsible for a
feckless policy of appeasement of the North Koreans that ultimately
led to their achieving nuclear capability. For an administration that
has vowed never to allow Iran to go nuclear to have one of the people
who can be blamed for the failure to stop North Korea as our point
person in the talks is yet another reason to call into question
Obama’s credibility on this issue.
The happy talk emanating from Istanbul and the ease with which the
Iranians stonewalled the P5+1 negotiators creates a stark contrast
with President Obama’s vow to keep the pressure on Iran. The failure
to obtain anything of substance from this meeting as well as the long
delay until the next conclave give no reason to hope for better
results in Baghdad in May and should be counted as just the latest
diplomatic triumph for the Iranians. If Obama is serious about
bringing the Iranians to heel — an assumption open to debate — he
must attempt to take back control of the process from Ashton. If not,
he may find that she not only will not defuse this crisis but also
may create another issue for the Republicans to use against him this
fall.
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