Obama’s Tough Talk Masks Iran Freebie (COMMENTARY MAGAZINE) Jonathan S. Tobin 04/16/12)
Source: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/04/16/obama-tough-talk-masks-iran-freebie-nuclear-netanyahu/
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President Obama responded sharply yesterday to Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu’s claim the P5+1 talks with Iran constituted a
Western “freebie” to the Islamist regime because it gave it five more
weeks to continue to enrich uranium. Speaking during his visit to
Colombia, the president let loose with another barrage of tough talk
about his intentions to halt Iran’s nuclear program. Warning “the
clock is ticking” for Iran, he directly addressed criticism of the
talks by saying he wouldn’t allow it to turn into a “stalling
process” and that far more draconian sanctions would be put into
place against the regime if it didn’t take advantage of the
diplomatic process.
That’s reassuring rhetoric, but the problem with America’s policy on
the Iranian nuclear issue remains the same as it has always been: the
disconnect between President Obama’s public rhetoric and the process
by which U.S. diplomatic efforts has allowed Tehran to do the
stalling that he claims he opposes. With reports of Saturday’s
meeting showing that nothing other than a commitment to future
meetings in Baghdad (the venue has been changed from Turkey to suit
Iran’s latest whim), it’s not clear why Israel or anyone who cares
should have much confidence that the negotiators are doing anything
but allowing both the ayatollahs and a president who wishes to avoid
a confrontation during an election year to run out the clock in
contravention to what Obama has pledged.
The president’s continued discussion of his desire to press Iran and
refusal to let them off the hook ought to have encouraged the
Israelis. But given the clear desire of America’s P5+1 negotiating
partners — a group that includes Iran’s friends Russia and China — to
treat the talks as merely a method for preventing an Israeli attack
on Iran, it is difficult to fault Netanyahu for his skepticism about
a process that, despite Obama’s comments, seems to have no clear
agenda or deadline for success. Indeed, accounts of the meeting seem
to have confirmed his fears that the whole point is about defusing
tension over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and creating a process that
will continue until well past November.
What is perhaps most discouraging about the accounts of the talks and
the preparations for the next meeting is that they do not at all seem
informed by the fact that the West has been down the garden path with
Iran before. This is not the first diplomatic contact with Iran.
Several years of talks dating back to the Bush administration and
including President Obama’s ludicrous effort at engagement with
Tehran all sought to get the Iranians to export their stockpile of
enriched uranium as well as to prevent it from creating more. Each
time, the Iranians agreed to the discussions and then even gave the
impression that a deal was in place before reneging.
The president has indicated he is aware of this, but by buying into
the current process and allowing the Russians and the Chinese an
equal say in the negotiations, he has set himself up for a repeat
performance. Unless he is prepared to get as tough with his own side
in the talks as he claims to want to be with Iran, it is difficult to
see how he can prevent a “stalling process” from taking up the entire
summer and fall with talks that are not likely to achieve anything.
The idea that he will be able to persuade the leaky international
coalition he has assembled on behalf of sanctions on Iran to go ahead
and embargo oil from the rogue state while he is simultaneously
engaged in negotiations with it defies common sense. But if all the
president is interested in doing is mollifying American public
opinion while putting off an Israeli strike, his strategy makes
perfect sense.
While Netanyahu is being criticized for going public with his
concerns about the talks, his comments about a “freebie” merely
indicate that this diplomatic process fools no one in Jerusalem. Both
the Iranians and the president share a desire to kick the can down
the road until after the November election. All the tough talk from
the White House doesn’t change the fact that there is little reason
to believe there will be genuine progress toward eliminating the
Iranian threat.
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