War in the Middle East May Be Inevitable (AMERICAN SPECTATOR) By Neil Snyder 04/08/12)
AMERICAN THINKER Articles-Index-Top
Moshe Arens is one of the most knowledgeable people in Israel today.
He understands Israel´s predicament as well as anyone, and that
includes Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. Arens has served as
Israel´s minister of defense and minister of foreign affairs, so when
he speaks, we should pay careful attention. On Tuesday, Arens
explained the true meaning of Shaul Mofaz´s March 27 victory over
Tzipi Livni for leadership of the Kadima Party:
Of course Shaul Mofaz won, and Tzipi Livni lost. But there was much
more to the Kadima primary race than that. It was the "two-state
solution," at the forefront of Israeli political discourse for a
number of years, that lost. It was the offer of more concessions to
the Palestinians, whose most prominent advocate was former Kadima
chairwoman, MK Tzipi Livni, that went down in defeat. The concession
offers made by then-Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to Palestinian
Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and by then-Foreign Minister Livni
to then-senior Palestinian negotiator Ahmed Qureia were left in the
dust in last week´s Kadima primary. That was the verdict implicitly
delivered by Kadima party members, a verdict that echoed the feelings
of many Israelis.
According to Arens, the Israeli public´s mood has changed
dramatically as a result of the failure to achieve anything that even
resembles peace despite repeated unilateral efforts by the Israeli
government to win the cooperation of Palestinian leaders. To
buttress his point, Arens discussed these failed attempts to move the
peace process forward:
1. The Oslo Peace Accords: Arens calls them "an abject failure."
2. Ehud Barak´s unilateral withdrawal from Southern Lebanon in 2000:
it led to the Second Lebanon War in 2006.
3. Barak´s attempt to buy off Yasser Arafat by offering him the
Temple Mount and much more in Jerusalem: Arafat flatly rejected the
offer and launched "an unprecedented wave of terror against Israeli
4. Prime Minister Ariel Sharon´s unilateral withdrawal from Gush
Katif in the Gaza Strip: it was a "grave mistake" because it led
to "Hamas taking control of the Gaza Strip and the subsequent rain of
rockets on southern Israel."
5. The Arab Spring: it brought "Islamic fundamentalist rule to the
Arab world" and "strengthened the skepticism of many Israelis
regarding the presumed advantages of offering territorial concessions
to our Arab neighbors."
Those are good reasons for the Israeli public´s mood change. Since
the Oslo Peace Process began in 1993 and movement toward a "two-state
solution" got underway in earnest, Israel has made concession after
concession, and in return they have received nothing but rejection
and more terrorist activity. According to Arens:
...The election that returned Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to
power three years ago was a clear indication of a growing
disenchantment with the much-vaunted "peace process" among many
Israelis. Livni´s defeat in the Kadima primary gave a stamp of
approval to this trend, which has contributed to the surprising
stability of the Netanyahu government. The current Knesset may yet
set an Israeli longevity record. The strength of the political
parties claiming that concessions will pave the path to peace is
The Israeli public is finally waking up to reality. They desire
peace because they have been at war, either declared or undeclared,
since Israel was reborn as a state in 1948, and they are growing
weary, but their Arab Muslim neighbors are committed to the eventual
overthrow of the tiny Jewish state. More than three decades ago,
Palestinian President Yasser Arafat explained what is taking place as
clearly as anyone could have:
...Since we cannot defeat Israel in war we do this in stages. We
take any and every territory that we can of Palestine, and establish
sovereignty there, and we use it as a springboard to take more. When
the time comes, we can get the Arab nations to join us for the final
blow against Israel. (Yasser Arafat speaking on Jordanian
television, September 13, 1993 -- the same day the Oslo Peace Accord
ceremony was held in Washington, D.C.)
...Peace for us means the destruction of Israel. We are preparing
for an all-out war, a war which will last for generations. Since
January 1965, when Fatah was born, we have become the most dangerous
enemy that Israel has[.] ... We shall not rest until the day when we
return to our home, and until we destroy Israel. (El Mundo, Caracas,
Venezuela, February 11, 1980)
Even though Arafat died in 2004, the Palestinians are following his
playbook to the letter. They are simply biding their time, taking
what Israel gives them, offering nothing in return, and waiting for
the day when "the Arab nations ... join us for the final blow against
Israel[,]" just as Arafat said. But the Middle East situation is
more complicated than that:
-An increasingly belligerent Iran is seeking to develop nuclear
weapons and long-range missiles to deliver them despite assurances to
the contrary, is attempting to establish hegemony over the Middle
East and North Africa, and has declared that it intends to "wipe
Israel off the map."
-China is siding with Iran and attempting to increase its influence
in the Middle East.
-Unrest in Syria is rapidly developing into a full-blown civil war
despite former Secretary-General of the United Nations Kofi Annan´s
efforts to bring an end to the fighting, Syrian President Bashar al-
Assad may not survive, and Islamists are positioning themselves to
-Russia is flexing its muscles in the Middle East, siding with Iran
and Syria, and challenging Western powers, most notably the United
-President Obama is perceived as weak in the Middle East, thus
emboldening Islamists throughout the region and Russia and China.
-Egypt is poised to elect an Islamist president, and Egypt´s
parliament has declared that Israel is Egypt´s "number one enemy."
-Turkey´s Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is leading his nation
down an Islamist path and trying to re-establish the Ottoman Empire.
In the process, he is turning against Israel and winning accolades
from the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.
These facts help to explain why there is growing skepticism among
Israeli citizens about the prospects for peace in the Middle East,
and they cause bleak reality to come into crystal-clear focus.
That´s why Israelis are turning away from Tzipi Livni and politicians
in Israel like her who preach peace despite the mounting evidence.
As unpleasant and undesirable as this may seem, the Israeli people
are realizing that now is the time to plan for war, because it may be
Return to Top
MATERIAL REPRODUCED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY