Obama’s Renewal of Egypt Aid Sends Region a Dangerous Signal (COMMENTARY MAGAZINE) Jonathan S. Tobin 03/16/12)
Source: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/03/16/obama-egypt-aid-renewal/
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President Obama faces a difficult task in trying to influence events
in post-revolutionary Egypt. With its military rulers brutally
abusing the human rights of their people and a rising tide of
Islamism threatening to drag the most populous Arab nation into a
morass of fundamentalism and violent conflict, maintaining the U.S.
relationship with Egypt is inherently problematic. But as he did
during the last days of the Mubarak regime last year, the president
may have just managed to make a bad situation worse.
On the heels of the Egyptians’ attempt to imprison Americans seeking
to promote democracy, Obama has directed the State Department to
exercise a national security waiver that will enable $1.3 billion in
military assistance to once again flow to Cairo despite legislation
linking the aid directly to human rights concerns. It is believed the
waiver was payment to the Egyptian military for its decision to allow
seven Americans to leave the country this month. The ransom might
have seemed reasonable to their families (especially because the
father of one of those in peril was Secretary of Transportation Ray
LaHood). But the move will disillusion Egyptian democrats as well as
send a signal to both the military and the Islamist majority in the
new parliament that not only is Obama not interested in human rights
but that the U.S. is willing to bow to blackmail.
Egypt has gotten billions in aid since the early 1980s, largely as a
bribe intended to both keep the country out of the Soviet orbit and
to preserve the peace treaty it signed with Israel in 1979. But with
Egypt now moving away from an ice-cold peace with Israel to a
situation barely distinguishable from belligerence, the same criteria
no longer should apply to the annual grant of U.S. largesse. For too
long, the aid was rightly seen by the Egyptian people as merely a
baksheesh payment to Mubarak and his cronies that did nothing to
better their lives. In continuing this practice now that a new group
hostile to American interests has replaced the dictator, Obama has
not only demonstrated his contempt for ordinary Egyptians but also
told the Middle East it is the Brotherhood and not America that is
the “strong horse” in the region.
If the United States is truly going to use its $1.3 billion present
to the Egyptian military as leverage over the country, then it might
have been advisable to employ it as more than a ransom payment. Egypt
has opened up its border with Gaza, relieving the isolation of the
Hamas government of the strip. The military has embraced the Muslim
Brotherhood in an uneasy alliance rather than seeking to work with
secular liberals. Under these circumstances, it is difficult to
envision Egypt as either a bulwark against fundamentalism or a force
for peace in the region.
By throwing away its one bargaining chip, the administration has lost
its ability to have any impact on the situation. While it is
reasonable to argue that a complete cutoff of aid would deprive
Washington of any ability to influence Egypt’s rulers, by not even
waiting until after a new presidential election is held to replace
Mubarak, Obama has made it clear that both the generals and the
Brotherhood will have a free hand in the coming months no matter what
they do.
Given the administration’s obvious disinterest in human rights issues
throughout the first three-plus years of Obama’s presidency, this
decision can hardly be seen as a surprise. But by demonstrating it is
willing to continue to throw good money after bad into an Egyptian
cesspool, the president and Secretary Clinton will further undermine
American prestige at a time when Islamists already believe they
represent the future of the region.
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