Report: U.S. Believes Iran Attack Inevitable (INN) ISRAEL NATIONAL NEWS) By Elad Benari, Canada 02/17/12)
Source: http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/152883#.Tz9RmoeO2So
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Officials in key parts of the Obama administration are increasingly
convinced that sanctions will not deter Tehran from pursuing its
nuclear program and believe that the U.S. will be left with no option
but to launch an attack on Iran or watch Israel do so, the British
Guardian reported on Friday.
According to the report, despite the fact that President Barack Obama
has made it clear that he is determined to give sufficient time for
measures such as the financial blockade and the looming European oil
embargo, there is a strong current of opinion within the
administration – including in the Pentagon and the State Department –
that believes sanctions are doomed to fail, and that their principal
use now is in delaying Israeli military action.
An official who is knowledgeable on Middle East policy told the
Guardian, “The White House wants to see sanctions work. This is not
the Bush White House. It does not need another conflict. Its problem
is that the guys in Tehran are behaving like sanctions don´t matter,
like their economy isn´t collapsing, like Israel isn´t going to do
anything.”
The official added, “Sanctions are all we´ve got to throw at the
problem. If they fail then it´s hard to see how we don´t move to
the ´in extremis´ option.”
Another official told the newspaper that some members in the
administration “don’t see a way forward,” adding that “the record
shows that there is nothing to work with.”
The Guardian said that if Obama concludes that there is no choice but
to attack Iran, he is unlikely to order such an attack before the
presidential election in November unless there is an urgent reason to
do so. The question which remains, the report noted, is whether the
Israelis will hold back that long.
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said earlier this week he does
not think Israel has made a decision to launch a military strike on
Iran to thwart its nuclear ambitions.
Earlier this month, however, Panetta told the Washington Post that he
thought the window for an Israeli attack on Iran is between April and
June.
Colin Kahl, who was U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for
the Middle East until December, told the Guardian, “With the European
oil embargo and U.S. sanctions on the central bank, the Israelis
probably have to give some time now to let those crippling sanctions
play out.
“If you look at the calendar,” he added, “it doesn´t make much sense
that the Israelis would jump the gun. They probably need to provide a
decent interval for those sanctions to be perceived as failing,
because they care about whether an Israeli strike would be seen as
philosophically legitimate; that is, as only having happened after
other options were exhausted. So I think that will push them a little
further into 2012.”
Kahl said part of Washington´s calculation is to judge whether Israel
is seriously contemplating attacking Iran, or is using the threat to
pressure the U.S. and Europe into confronting Tehran.
“It´s not that the Israelis believe the Iranians are on the brink of
a bomb,” he said. “It´s that the Israelis may fear that the Iranian
program is on the brink of becoming out of reach of an Israeli
military strike, which means it creates a ´now-or-never´ moment.”
On Friday, polls produced by the Gallup Institute and the Pew
Research Center revealed that 58 percent of Americans support using
force to prevent Iran from getting nukes.
When it came to the question of supporting an Israeli attack on
Iran´s nuclear program, 62 percent of the Republicans favored such
support as compared with 33 percent for Democrats and Independents.
(IsraelNationalNews © 2012 02/17/12)
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